news-mcp/scripts/eval_extraction.py

#!/usr/bin/env python3
"""
Evaluation harness for entity/keyword extraction prompt.

Usage:
  python scripts/eval_extraction.py                    # Run against golden samples
  python scripts/eval_extraction.py --verbose          # Show per-sample details
  python scripts/eval_extraction.py --model llama-3.1-8b-instant  # Test specific model
  python scripts/eval_extraction.py --collect N        # Collect N new samples from live DB
"""

from __future__ import annotations
import argparse
import asyncio
import json
import sys
from pathlib import Path
from typing import Any

# Add project root to path
sys.path.insert(0, str(Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent))

from news_mcp.llm import build_extraction_prompt, call_llm, load_prompt
from news_mcp.config import (
    NEWS_EXTRACT_PROVIDER,
    NEWS_EXTRACT_MODEL,
    NEWS_ENTITY_BLACKLIST,
)
from news_mcp.entity_normalize import normalize_entities
from news_mcp.enrichment.llm_enrich import _filter_entities


# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
# Golden samples (curated from real clusters)
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_SAMPLES = [
    {
        "name": "sec_binance_lawsuit",
        "cluster": {
            "headline": "SEC sues Binance over unregistered securities",
            "summary": "The Securities and Exchange Commission filed a lawsuit against Binance, the world's largest crypto exchange, alleging it operated as an unregistered securities exchange and commingled customer funds.",
        },
        "expected": {
            "entities": ["SEC", "Binance"],
            "keywords": ["securities law", "crypto exchange", "enforcement action"],
            "topic": "regulation",
        },
    },
    {
        "name": "fed_rates_inflation",
        "cluster": {
            "headline": "Fed holds rates steady as inflation cools",
            "summary": "The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged at 5.25-5.50%, citing progress on inflation but signaling caution on future cuts.",
        },
        "expected": {
            "entities": ["Federal Reserve"],
            "keywords": ["interest rates", "inflation", "monetary policy"],
            "topic": "macro",
        },
    },
    {
        "name": "israel_iran_syria_strikes",
        "cluster": {
            "headline": "Israel strikes Iranian missile sites in Syria",
            "summary": "Israeli warplanes targeted Iranian missile depots near Damascus overnight, escalating regional tensions.",
        },
        "expected": {
            "entities": ["Israel", "Iran", "Syria", "Damascus"],
            "keywords": ["airstrikes", "missile sites", "regional escalation"],
            "topic": "other",
        },
    },
    {
        "name": "bitcoin_etf_flows",
        "cluster": {
            "headline": "Bitcoin ETFs see record inflows as BTC tops $70k",
            "summary": "US spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted $2.3 billion in net inflows this week as Bitcoin surged past $70,000, driven by institutional demand.",
        },
        "expected": {
            "entities": ["Bitcoin", "BTC"],
            "keywords": ["ETF inflows", "institutional demand", "price surge"],
            "topic": "crypto",
        },
    },
    {
        "name": "ai_regulation_eu",
        "cluster": {
            "headline": "EU AI Act enters force with strict rules for high-risk systems",
            "summary": "The European Union's landmark AI Act took effect today, imposing strict requirements on high-risk AI systems including transparency, human oversight, and risk management.",
        },
        "expected": {
            "entities": ["European Union", "EU AI Act"],
            "keywords": ["AI regulation", "high-risk systems", "compliance requirements"],
            "topic": "ai",
        },
    },
    {
        "name": "china_economy_stimulus",
        "cluster": {
            "headline": "China unveils stimulus package to boost slowing economy",
            "summary": "Beijing announced a comprehensive stimulus package including infrastructure spending, tax cuts, and monetary easing to counter slowing growth and property sector weakness.",
        },
        "expected": {
            "entities": ["China", "Beijing"],
            "keywords": ["stimulus package", "infrastructure spending", "monetary easing", "property sector"],
            "topic": "macro",
        },
    },
    {
        "name": "oil_prices_opepcuts",
        "cluster": {
            "headline": "Oil jumps after OPEC+ extends production cuts",
            "summary": "Crude oil prices rose 3% after OPEC+ agreed to extend production cuts through year-end, tightening global supply amid demand concerns.",
        },
        "expected": {
            "entities": ["OPEC+"],
            "keywords": ["production cuts", "oil prices", "global supply", "demand concerns"],
            "topic": "macro",
        },
    },
    {
        "name": "nvidia_earnings_ai",
        "cluster": {
            "headline": "Nvidia beats earnings on AI chip demand",
            "summary": "Nvidia reported quarterly revenue of $26 billion, up 262% year-over-year, driven by insatiable demand for its H100 and Blackwell AI chips.",
        },
        "expected": {
            "entities": ["Nvidia", "H100", "Blackwell"],
            "keywords": ["AI chips", "earnings beat", "revenue growth", "chip demand"],
            "topic": "ai",
        },
    },
    {
        "name": "ecb_rate_decision",
        "cluster": {
            "headline": "ECB cuts rates as eurozone inflation falls to 2.4%",
            "summary": "The European Central Bank lowered its deposit rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%, marking its first cut since 2019 as inflation approaches target.",
        },
        "expected": {
            "entities": ["European Central Bank", "ECB"],
            "keywords": ["rate cut", "eurozone inflation", "deposit rate", "monetary easing"],
            "topic": "macro",
        },
    },
    {
        "name": "trump_legal_cases",
        "cluster": {
            "headline": "Trump convicted in hush money trial, first former president found guilty",
            "summary": "A New York jury found Donald Trump guilty on all 34 counts of falsifying business records in the hush money case, making him the first former US president convicted of a crime.",
        },
        "expected": {
            "entities": ["Donald Trump", "New York"],
            "keywords": ["criminal conviction", "hush money", "falsifying records", "historic verdict"],
            "topic": "other",
        },
    },
]


# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
# Scoring functions
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
def normalize_list(items: list[str]) -> set[str]:
    """Normalize list of strings for comparison: lowercase, strip, dedupe."""
    return {str(x).strip().lower() for x in items if x and str(x).strip()}


def score_extraction(pred: dict[str, Any], gold: dict[str, Any]) -> dict[str, float]:
    """Score a single prediction against gold standard."""
    pred_entities = normalize_list(pred.get("entities", []))
    gold_entities = normalize_list(gold.get("entities", []))
    pred_keywords = normalize_list(pred.get("keywords", []))
    gold_keywords = normalize_list(gold.get("keywords", []))

    # Entity precision/recall/F1
    if pred_entities:
        ent_p = len(pred_entities & gold_entities) / len(pred_entities)
    else:
        ent_p = 0.0
    if gold_entities:
        ent_r = len(pred_entities & gold_entities) / len(gold_entities)
    else:
        ent_r = 0.0
    ent_f1 = 2 * ent_p * ent_r / (ent_p + ent_r) if (ent_p + ent_r) > 0 else 0.0

    # Keyword precision/recall/F1 (allow partial overlap since keywords are thematic)
    if pred_keywords:
        kw_p = len(pred_keywords & gold_keywords) / len(pred_keywords)
    else:
        kw_p = 0.0
    if gold_keywords:
        kw_r = len(pred_keywords & gold_keywords) / len(gold_keywords)
    else:
        kw_r = 0.0
    kw_f1 = 2 * kw_p * kw_r / (kw_p + kw_r) if (kw_p + kw_r) > 0 else 0.0

    # Leakage: entities appearing in keywords (should be 0)
    leakage = len(pred_entities & pred_keywords)

    # Topic accuracy
    topic_acc = 1.0 if pred.get("topic") == gold.get("topic") else 0.0

    return {
        "ent_p": round(ent_p, 3),
        "ent_r": round(ent_r, 3),
        "ent_f1": round(ent_f1, 3),
        "kw_p": round(kw_p, 3),
        "kw_r": round(kw_r, 3),
        "kw_f1": round(kw_f1, 3),
        "leakage": leakage,
        "topic_acc": topic_acc,
    }


def aggregate_scores(scores: list[dict[str, float]]) -> dict[str, float]:
    """Compute macro averages across samples."""
    if not scores:
        return {}
    keys = scores[0].keys()
    return {k: round(sum(s[k] for s in scores) / len(scores), 3) for k in keys}


def print_sample_result(name: str, pred: dict, gold: dict, scores: dict, verbose: bool):
    """Print result for a single sample."""
    print(f"\n{'='*60}")
    print(f"Sample: {name}")
    print(f"{'='*60}")
    print(f"  Topic: pred={pred.get('topic')} | gold={gold.get('topic')} | {'✓' if scores['topic_acc'] else '✗'}")
    print(f"  Entities:  P={scores['ent_p']:.2f} R={scores['ent_r']:.2f} F1={scores['ent_f1']:.2f}")
    print(f"    Pred: {pred.get('entities', [])}")
    print(f"    Gold: {gold.get('entities', [])}")
    print(f"  Keywords:  P={scores['kw_p']:.2f} R={scores['kw_r']:.2f} F1={scores['kw_f1']:.2f}")
    print(f"    Pred: {pred.get('keywords', [])}")
    print(f"    Gold: {gold.get('keywords', [])}")
    if scores["leakage"] > 0:
        leaked = set(e.lower() for e in pred.get("entities", [])) & set(k.lower() for k in pred.get("keywords", []))
        print(f"  ⚠ LEAKAGE: {leaked} (entities in keywords)")
    if verbose:
        print(f"  Sentiment: {pred.get('sentiment')} ({pred.get('sentimentScore')})")


async def run_extraction(cluster: dict[str, Any], provider: str, model: str) -> dict[str, Any]:
    """Run extraction on a single cluster."""
    prompt = load_prompt("extract_entities.prompt")
    # Build the full user prompt
    import json as json_lib
    user_prompt = prompt.replace("{cluster_json}", json_lib.dumps(cluster, ensure_ascii=False))

    from news_mcp.config import GROQ_API_KEY, OPENAI_API_KEY, OPENROUTER_API_KEY

    system_prompt = "You are a news signal extraction engine. Return STRICT JSON only."

    content = await call_llm(provider, model, system_prompt, user_prompt)
    return json.loads(content)


async def evaluate_samples(samples: list[dict], provider: str, model: str, verbose: bool) -> dict:
    """Run evaluation on all samples."""
    print(f"\nEvaluating {len(samples)} samples with {provider}/{model}...")
    print("-" * 60)

    all_scores = []
    results = []

    for i, sample in enumerate(samples, 1):
        name = sample["name"]
        cluster = sample["cluster"]
        gold = sample["expected"]

        print(f"[{i}/{len(samples)}] {name}...", end=" ", flush=True)

        try:
            pred = await run_extraction(cluster, provider, model)

            # Apply same post-processing as production pipeline
            from news_mcp.enrichment.llm_enrich import _filter_entities, normalize_entities
            from news_mcp.config import DEFAULT_TOPICS, NEWS_ENTITY_BLACKLIST

            entities = _filter_entities(normalize_entities(pred.get("entities", [])), blacklist=NEWS_ENTITY_BLACKLIST)
            keywords = _filter_entities(normalize_entities(pred.get("keywords", [])), blacklist=NEWS_ENTITY_BLACKLIST)

            # Filter topic labels from keywords
            topic_labels = {t.lower() for t in DEFAULT_TOPICS}
            keywords = [k for k in keywords if k.lower() not in topic_labels]

            # Length cap
            keywords = [k for k in keywords if len(k.split()) <= 2]

            # De-duplicate entities vs keywords
            entity_keys = {e.strip().lower() for e in entities}
            keywords = [k for k in keywords if k.strip().lower() not in entity_keys]

            pred_processed = {
                "topic": pred.get("topic", "other"),
                "entities": entities,
                "keywords": keywords,
                "sentiment": pred.get("sentiment", "neutral"),
                "sentimentScore": pred.get("sentimentScore", 0.0),
            }

            scores = score_extraction(pred_processed, gold)
            all_scores.append(scores)
            results.append({"name": name, "pred": pred_processed, "gold": gold, "scores": scores})

            if verbose:
                print_sample_result(name, pred_processed, gold, scores, verbose)
            else:
                print(f"Ent_F1={scores['ent_f1']:.2f} Kw_F1={scores['kw_f1']:.2f} Leak={scores['leakage']} Topic={'✓' if scores['topic_acc'] else '✗'}")

        except Exception as e:
            print(f"ERROR: {e}")
            results.append({"name": name, "error": str(e)})

    # Aggregate
    agg = aggregate_scores(all_scores)
    print(f"\n{'='*60}")
    print("AGGREGATE SCORES (macro average)")
    print(f"{'='*60}")
    print(f"  Entity F1:     {agg.get('ent_f1', 0):.3f}  (P={agg.get('ent_p', 0):.3f} R={agg.get('ent_r', 0):.3f})")
    print(f"  Keyword F1:    {agg.get('kw_f1', 0):.3f}  (P={agg.get('kw_p', 0):.3f} R={agg.get('kw_r', 0):.3f})")
    print(f"  Leakage (avg): {agg.get('leakage', 0):.3f}  (entities in keywords)")
    print(f"  Topic Acc:     {agg.get('topic_acc', 0):.3f}")

    return {"aggregate": agg, "per_sample": results}


async def collect_samples_from_db(n: int, output_file: str):
    """Collect N recent clusters from live DB as new golden samples."""
    from news_mcp.storage.sqlite_store import SQLiteClusterStore
    from news_mcp.config import DB_PATH

    print(f"Collecting {n} samples from {DB_PATH}...")
    store = SQLiteClusterStore(DB_PATH)
    clusters = store.get_latest_clusters_all_topics(ttl_hours=24*30, limit=n)

    samples = []
    for c in clusters:
        samples.append({
            "name": f"live_{c['cluster_id'][:8]}",
            "cluster": {"headline": c["headline"], "summary": c["summary"]},
            "expected": {"entities": [], "keywords": [], "topic": c.get("topic", "other")},
        })

    # Save to file for manual annotation
    output_path = Path(output_file)
    output_path.write_text(json.dumps(samples, indent=2, ensure_ascii=False))
    print(f"Saved {len(samples)} samples to {output_path}")
    print("Edit the file to fill in expected entities/keywords, then add to GOLDEN_SAMPLES.")


def main():
    parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description="Evaluate extraction prompt")
    parser.add_argument("--provider", default=NEWS_EXTRACT_PROVIDER, help="LLM provider")
    parser.add_argument("--model", default=NEWS_EXTRACT_MODEL, help="LLM model")
    parser.add_argument("--verbose", "-v", action="store_true", help="Verbose output")
    parser.add_argument("--collect", type=int, metavar="N", help="Collect N samples from live DB")
    parser.add_argument("--output", default="new_samples.json", help="Output file for collected samples")
    args = parser.parse_args()

    if args.collect:
        asyncio.run(collect_samples_from_db(args.collect, args.output))
        return

    # Run evaluation
    result = asyncio.run(evaluate_samples(GOLDEN_SAMPLES, args.provider, args.model, args.verbose))

    # Exit code based on quality threshold
    agg = result["aggregate"]
    if agg.get("ent_f1", 0) < 0.5 or agg.get("kw_f1", 0) < 0.4 or agg.get("leakage", 99) > 0.5:
        print("\n⚠ Quality below threshold!")
        sys.exit(1)
    else:
        print("\n✓ Quality acceptable")
        sys.exit(0)


if __name__ == "__main__":
    main()